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Pergeseran Aliansi Atas Kalkulasi Kekuatan Negara-Negara Besar Pasca Kejatuhan Rezim Assad di Suriah
Corresponding Author(s) : Windratmo Suwarno Suwarno
JURNAL HUBUNGAN LUAR NEGERI,
Vol. 10 No. 2 (2025): Jurnal Hubungan Luar Negeri
Abstract
Perubahan yang mendasar akibat jatuhnya rezim Bashar al Assad di Suriah menandakan terjadinya pergeseran aliansi geopolitik yang terjadi di Timur Tengah. Rezim ini jatuh akibat terjadinya pemberontakan yang dilakukan oleh rakyatnya sendiri yang sudah jenuh dengan pemerintahan diktator Assad yang berkuasa sejak tahun 2000. Hancurnya kekuasaan ini memberikan dampak atas pergeseran kekuasaan yang dinamis secara regional maupun internasional. Dalam arti lain terjadi pergeseran keseimbangan kekuatan di wilayah negeri Syam. [1]Dalam menganalisis penelitian ini akan menggunakan metode kualitatif yang mendapatkan sumber sekunder dari berbagai tulisan atau penelitian ilmiah yang terdapat pada jurnal ilmiah dan berbagai berita yang tersedia di media cetak internasional. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dan mengamati mengapa kekuatan Assad dapat hancur di Suriah pasca melemahnya kekuatan Iran dan Rusia di Suriah.
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- Adar, Sinem, Assembur, Muriel; Azizi, amidreza; Klein, Margarete dan Steinberg, guido, 2025. The Fall of the Assad Regim: Regional and International Power Shifts, German Instute for International and Security Issues, The Fall of the Assad Regime: Regional and International Power Shifts - Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (diakses 14.06.2025)
- AlJazeera, What happened in Syria? How did al-Assad fall?, 2024, December 8, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/12/8/what-happened-in-syria-has-al-assad-really-fallen, (Diakses 25.07.2025)
- Drysdale, Alasdair & Hinnebusch, dan Raymond A., 1991. Syria and the Middle East Process. New York: Council on Foreign Relations Press.
- Hamdach, Widyane, the Fall of Bashar al-Assad: Winners, Loser, and Challenge Ahead, Georgetown Journal of International Affairs, 2025, May 7, https:// gjia.georgetown.edu/2025/05/07/the-fall-of-bashar-al-assad-winners-losers-and-challenges-ahead/, (diakses 29.07.2025)
- Idlbi, Qutaiba; Lister, Charles; Forestier, Marie, 2025. Reimagining Syria: A Roadmap for Peace and Prosperity Beyond Assad, Middle East Institute of Peace, March. Reimagining Syria 3-25.pdf, (diakses 20.07.2025)
- Loft, Philip & Mills, Clairse, 2025. Syria after Assad: Consequences and Interim Authoritties, July 23, , https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-10161/ (diakses 29.07.2025)
- Radford, Antoinette, 2024. The Assad regime ruled Syria for 50 years. Here’s how it fell in less than two weeks, CNN, December 9, 2024, https://edition. cnn.com/2024/12/09/middleeast/timeline-syria-assad-regime-toppled-intl, (diakses 29.07. 2025)
- Shaban, Fateh, 2025. Rethinking Middle East Geopolitics after the Fall of the Assad Regim Policy Analysis Fateh Shaban, Policy Analysis, Harmoon Center, April, https://www.harmoon.org/en/researches/middle-east/ (diakses 29.07.2025)
- Singh, Subhash & Ahmad, Saleem, 2024. Beyond Assad: The Syrian Civil War, Humanitarian Crisis, and the Path to an Inclusice Future, Journal of Peace Studies, Vo.32, Issue1, Januari-March, 2025
- Suwarno, Windratmo, 2013. Dampak Strategi Suriah Menghadapi Israel terhadap Pergolakan di Suriah, https://www.academia.edu/5381470/ Dampak_ Strategi Suriah meng-hadapi_Israel_terhadap_Pergolakan_di_Suriah (diakses 29/07.2025)
- Task Force, MENA, 2024. A New Chapter for Syria: Analyzing the Collapse of Assad’s Regime, Dec 10, 2024, Beyond The Horixon. https://A New Chapter for Syria: Analyzing the Collapse of Assad’s Regime, (diakses 21.07.2025)
- Wedeen, Lisa, 2025. Forever Has Fallen”: The End of Syria’s Assad, Journal Democracy, Vol. 36, Issue 2, April 2025, Hal. 50-58, https:// www.journalofdemocracy. org/articles/forever-has-fallen-the-end-of-syrias-assad/ (diakses 29.07.2025)
References
Adar, Sinem, Assembur, Muriel; Azizi, amidreza; Klein, Margarete dan Steinberg, guido, 2025. The Fall of the Assad Regim: Regional and International Power Shifts, German Instute for International and Security Issues, The Fall of the Assad Regime: Regional and International Power Shifts - Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (diakses 14.06.2025)
AlJazeera, What happened in Syria? How did al-Assad fall?, 2024, December 8, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/12/8/what-happened-in-syria-has-al-assad-really-fallen, (Diakses 25.07.2025)
Drysdale, Alasdair & Hinnebusch, dan Raymond A., 1991. Syria and the Middle East Process. New York: Council on Foreign Relations Press.
Hamdach, Widyane, the Fall of Bashar al-Assad: Winners, Loser, and Challenge Ahead, Georgetown Journal of International Affairs, 2025, May 7, https:// gjia.georgetown.edu/2025/05/07/the-fall-of-bashar-al-assad-winners-losers-and-challenges-ahead/, (diakses 29.07.2025)
Idlbi, Qutaiba; Lister, Charles; Forestier, Marie, 2025. Reimagining Syria: A Roadmap for Peace and Prosperity Beyond Assad, Middle East Institute of Peace, March. Reimagining Syria 3-25.pdf, (diakses 20.07.2025)
Loft, Philip & Mills, Clairse, 2025. Syria after Assad: Consequences and Interim Authoritties, July 23, , https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-10161/ (diakses 29.07.2025)
Radford, Antoinette, 2024. The Assad regime ruled Syria for 50 years. Here’s how it fell in less than two weeks, CNN, December 9, 2024, https://edition. cnn.com/2024/12/09/middleeast/timeline-syria-assad-regime-toppled-intl, (diakses 29.07. 2025)
Shaban, Fateh, 2025. Rethinking Middle East Geopolitics after the Fall of the Assad Regim Policy Analysis Fateh Shaban, Policy Analysis, Harmoon Center, April, https://www.harmoon.org/en/researches/middle-east/ (diakses 29.07.2025)
Singh, Subhash & Ahmad, Saleem, 2024. Beyond Assad: The Syrian Civil War, Humanitarian Crisis, and the Path to an Inclusice Future, Journal of Peace Studies, Vo.32, Issue1, Januari-March, 2025
Suwarno, Windratmo, 2013. Dampak Strategi Suriah Menghadapi Israel terhadap Pergolakan di Suriah, https://www.academia.edu/5381470/ Dampak_ Strategi Suriah meng-hadapi_Israel_terhadap_Pergolakan_di_Suriah (diakses 29/07.2025)
Task Force, MENA, 2024. A New Chapter for Syria: Analyzing the Collapse of Assad’s Regime, Dec 10, 2024, Beyond The Horixon. https://A New Chapter for Syria: Analyzing the Collapse of Assad’s Regime, (diakses 21.07.2025)
Wedeen, Lisa, 2025. Forever Has Fallen”: The End of Syria’s Assad, Journal Democracy, Vol. 36, Issue 2, April 2025, Hal. 50-58, https:// www.journalofdemocracy. org/articles/forever-has-fallen-the-end-of-syrias-assad/ (diakses 29.07.2025)