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Indo-Phil Nickel Corridor: Opportunities and Challenges
Corresponding Author(s) : Christopher Paller Gerale
JURNAL HUBUNGAN LUAR NEGERI,
Vol. 11 No. 1 (2026): Jurnal Hubungan Luar Negeri
Abstract
The Indo-Phil Nickel Corridor emerged from cooperation between the Indonesian Nickel Miners Association, locally known as Asosiasi Penambang Nikel Indonesia (APNI), and the Philippine Nickel Industry Association (PNIA), and was further formalised through a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on Strategic Nickel Industry Development Cooperation signed during the 48th Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Summit and Related Meetings in Cebu, Philippines. Employing qualitative document analysis informed by geo-economic regionalism, this study examines how the initiative reconfigures regional cooperation in nickel production and value-chain integration. The findings demonstrate that the Corridor creates opportunities for geo-economic integration through the structural complementarity of Indonesia’s downstream industrial capacity and the Philippines’ upstream resource base, strengthens ASEAN’s collective position within global critical mineral supply chains, and encourages greater convergence in environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards. However, these opportunities are constrained by structural asymmetries, weak institutionalisation, regulatory fragmentation, environmental constraints, and external geopolitical pressures, including trade disputes and increasingly fragmented compliance regimes. This article argues that the Corridor reveals a fundamental governance paradox: its industry-led business-to-business (B2B) structure provides the flexibility necessary to initiate cross-border cooperation while its institutional informality simultaneously constrains the development of durable regional governance. The absence of legally binding commitments, formal dispute-settlement mechanisms, and harmonised regulatory frameworks limits the Corridor’s capacity to sustain investment coordination, policy continuity, and resilience to political and market disruptions. The analysis therefore suggests that deeper state-level institutional coordination and regulatory convergence are necessary to overcome these limitations, potentially through a gradual transition toward a government-to-government (G2G) framework, although such institutionalisation would also expose the Corridor to greater legal and political scrutiny from external trading partners.
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References
Alsharif, A., 2025. Global Trends in Electric Vehicle Charging Demand and Infrastructure Development. Libyan Open University Journal of Applied Sciences (LOUJAS), 1(1), pp. 20-28.
Amnesty International, 2026. Philippines: Nickel mining projects approved despite inadequate consultation and serious risks to communities’ health and environment. [Online]
[Accessed 10 May 2026].
Audi, R., 1983. The Applications of Conceptual Analysis. Metaphilosophy, 14(2), pp. 87-106.
Bojanić, P., Iaquinto, S. & Torrengo, G., 2018. Conceptual Analysis and Empirical Data. Rivista di Estetica, Volume 69, pp. 3-6.
Bowen, G., 2009. Document Analysis as a Qualitative Research Method. Qualitative Research Journal, 9(2), pp. 27-40.
Breslin, S. & Nesadurai, H. E. S., 2023. Economic statecraft, geoeconomics and regional political economies. The Pacific Review, 36(5), pp. 927-948.
British Geological Survey, 2025. World Mineral Production 2019-2023, Keyworth, Nottingham: British Geological Survey.
Camarillo, I., 2025. Trade and Critical Minerals: The Deadly Cost of Nickel Mining in Indonesia. [Online]
Available at: https://gtwaction.org/the-deadly-cost-of-nickel-mining-in-indonesia/
[Accessed 09 May 2026].
Camba, A., 2021. The unintended consequences of national regulations: Large-scale-small-scale relations in Philippine and Indonesian nickel mining. Resources Policy, Volume 74.
Castellet, E., 2024. Geoeconomic spheres: The Age of Economic Multipolarity and Regionalism. Cuadernos Económicos de ICE.
Center for Environmental Concerns-Philippines, 2018. A Primer on the People's Mining Bill (House Bill 2715), Manila: Center for Environmental Concerns-Philippines; Defend Patrimony Alliance and Kalikasan People’s Network for the Environment (Kalikasan – PNE).
Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA); Center of Economic and Law Studies (CELIOS), 2024. Debunking the value-added myth in nickel downstream industry – Economic and health impact. Jakarta: Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA); Center of Economic and Law Studies (CELIOS).
China Chamber of Commerce in Indonesia, 2026. Letter Requesting Improvement of the Business Environment [Letter to President Prabowo Subianto]. Jakarta: China Chamber of Commerce in Indonesia.
Cornelissen, J. P. & Werner, M., 2025. What Are Mechanisms? Ways of Conceptualizing and Studying Causal Mechanisms. Organizational Research Methods, 29(2), pp. 147-176.
Dela Cruz Jr., E. V., Gamo-Sisayan, C. M. T. & Durana, K. M. C., 2026. Philippine mining laws: community and environmental mandates. [Online]
Available at: https://law.asia/philippine-mining-laws-sdmp-reforestation-mandates/
[Accessed 10 May 2026].
Dinata, S., Ikhsan, M., Silaban, M. & Umam, A. K., 2020. The Outcome of China's Investment in Indonesia: Lessons from the Nickel Industry, Jakarta: Paramadina Public Policy Institute.
Engel, H., Hensley, R., Knupfer, S. & Sahdev, S., 2018. Charging ahead: Electric-vehicle infrastructure demand, s.l.: McKinsey&Company.
Estrin, S. & Hancké, B., 2026. How geopolitics, geoeconomics, and new organizational models are changing the world of business. Journal of International Business Policy.
Fairclough, N., 1992. Discourse and social change. s.l.:Polity Press.
Fairclough, N., 1995. Critical Discourse Analysis: The Critical Study of Language. London & New York: Longman.
Fawcett, L., 2016. Regions and Regionalism. In: M. Beeso & N. Bisley, eds. Issues in 21st Centur World Politics (3rd ed.). London: Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 97-112.
Firdausy, I., 2026. Airlangga: Indonesia-Philippines Cooperation Strengthens the Global Critical Mineral Supply Chain. [Online]
Available at: https://mediaindonesia.com/ekonomi/888102/airlangga-kerja-sama-indonesia-filipina-perkuat-rantai-pasok-mineral-kritis-global
[Accessed 08 May 2026].
Furner, J., 2004. Conceptual Analysis: A Method for Understanding Information as Evidence, and Evidence as Information. Archives and Museum Informatics, Volume 4, pp. 233-2265.
Gbadeya, O. J., J. M., Linganiso, L. Z. & Deenadayalu, N., 2024. Decoupling Economic Growth from Carbon Emissions: A Transition toward Low-Carbon Energy Systems—A Critical Review. Clean Technologies, 6(3), pp. 1076-1113.
Goswami, S., 2026. Geography and Regionalism: A Theoretical Exploration. In: S. Goswami, ed. Micro-regions, Connectivity and Multi-sectoral Cooperation. Singapore: Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 15-48.
Gross, J., 2018. Document analysis. In: B. B. Frey, ed. The SAGE encyclopedia of educational research, measurement, and evaluation. s.l.:SAGE Publications, Inc., pp. 545-548.
Hidayat, M., 2026. Indonesia-Philippines Nickel Cooperation Agreement: 2026 Regional Strategy. [Online]
Available at: https://discoveryalert.com.au/indonesia-philippines-nickel-cooperation-agreement-simg-ratio-2026/
[Accessed 10 May 2026].
İnan, Ş., 2005. Geoeconomic Policies for Regional Development: Turkey as a Catalyst for Eastern Europe. Ekonomika, Volume 69, pp. 30-45.
International Trade Administration, 2025. Philippines Critical Minerals. [Online]
Available at: https://www.trade.gov/market-intelligence/philippines-critical-minerals
[Accessed May 10 2026].
Jackson, F., 2024. Conceptual Analysis. In: M. C. Frank & A. Majid, eds. Open Encyclopedia of Cognitive Science. s.l.:MIT Press.
Lagutina, M., 2020. The Global Region: a Concept for understanding Regional Processes in Global Era. The Journal of Cross-Regional Dialogues/La Revue de dialogues inter-régionaux, 1(Special Issue), pp. 15-39.
Lo, M. G. et al., 2024. Nickel mining reduced forest cover in Indonesia but had mixed outcomes for well-being. One Earth, 7(11), pp. 2019-2033.
Mahardhika, L. A., 2026. Indonesia and the Philippines Build Nickel Corridor, Bahlil Affirms B2B Cooperation. [Online]
Available at: https://ima-api.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/IMA-Daily-News-Update-Tuesday-May-12-2026.pdf
[Accessed 12 May 2026].
Mattlin, M. & Wigell, M., 2016. Geoeconomics in the context of restive regional powers. Asia Europe Journal, 14(2), pp. 125-134.
PT Trimitra Sistem Solusindo, 2026. Nickel Oversupply in 2025: Challenge or Opportunity for Indonesia’s Industry?. [Online]
Available at: https://tms-consulting.co.id/nickel-oversupply-2025-indonesia/
[Accessed 08 May 2026].
Purbantina, A. P., 2015. Regional Free Trade Agreement as the form of ‘New Regionalism’ in Asia Pacific: Geo-Politic and Geo-Economic Aspect of ASEAN Centrality. Global and Policy | Journal of International Relations, 3(2), pp. 73-83.
Racine, T. P., 2015. Conceptual analysis. In: J. Martin, J. Sugarman & K. L. Slaney, eds. The Wiley handbook of theoretical and philosophical psychology: Methods, approaches, and new directions for social sciences. s.l.:Wiley Blackwell, pp. 39-52.
Reuters, 2026. Nickel associations of Indonesia, Philippines sign agreement on cooperation. [Online]
Available at: https://www.mining.com/web/nickel-associations-of-indonesia-philippines-sign-agreement-on-cooperation/
[Accessed 8 May 2026].
Rosada, F. & Paksi, A. K., 2025. Reforming Environmental Governance in Response to Indonesia’s Nickel Industrial Policy: A Critical Assessment of Sustainability Challenges. Global: Jurnal Politik Internasional, 27(1), pp. 75-102.
Situmorang, B. S., 2026. The illusion of control in Indonesia’s nickel revolution. [Online]
Available at: https://eastasiaforum.org/2026/01/08/the-illusion-of-control-in-indonesias-nickel-revolution/
[Accessed 09 May 2026].
Statbase, n.d.. Nickel mining: Data by Countries from 1970 to 2023. [Online]
Available at: https://statbase.org/datasets/metals/nickel-production/
[Accessed 10 May 2026].
Sugihartono, S., 2024. Indonesia’s Trade Dispute on Nickel Ore in the WTO: Current Progress and Developments. [Online]
Available at: https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2024/10/28/indonesias-trade-dispute-on-nickel-ore-in-the-wto-current-progress-and-developments/
[Accessed 10 May 2026].
Tian, J. et al., 2022. Global low-carbon energy transition in the post-COVID-19 era. Applied Energy, Volume 307.
U.S. Geological Survey, 2026. Mineral commodity summaries 2026: Nickel., s.l.: 2026 United States Geological Survey (USGS).
Wardani, R. Y. et al., 2025. Barriers of regional economic cooperation development: Theoretical perspectives. Transnational Corporations Review, 17(3).
Widiatedja, I. G. N. P., 2023. Indonesia’s nickel export ban: is it really in the national interest?. [Online]
Available at: https://indonesiaatmelbourne.unimelb.edu.au/indonesias-nickel-export-ban-is-it-really-in-the-national-interest/
[Accessed 10 May 2026].
Yoshimatsu, H., 2023. ASEAN and Great Power Rivalry in Regionalism: From East Asia to the Indo-Pacific. Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, 42(1), pp. 25-44.
Zadeh, J., 2025. Indonesia’s Nickel Industry: Powering Global Supply Chains. [Online]
Available at: https://discoveryalert.com.au/indonesian-nickel-industry-growth-challenges-2025/
[Accessed 10 May 2026].